Vanuatu is expected to have two to four cyclones over the archipelago this cyclone season, with at least one expected to reach category 3 or higher.
The Vanuatu Meteorology and Geo-Hazards Department (VMGD) said there is a “normal risk” of tropical cyclones, with the likelihood of above-average air temperatures, heavy rain and strong winds raising the risk of flooding and potential damage throughout the country.
The VMGD’s Acting Director Fred Jockley told the National Climate Outlook Forum last week that people should remain vigilant ahead of cyclone season.
“People are advised that from experience it does not take a direct hit or severe Tropical Cyclone to cause considerable damage or life-threatening weather. In the past, tropical disturbances and depressions alone have caused significant damage in Vanuatu.”
Vanuatu’s tropical cyclone season lasts from November to April but usually peaks from January to March. However, Vanuatu has experienced cyclones forming outside this period.
From November 2024 to April 2025, rainfall is predicted to be above normal, particularly in provinces such as Torba, Sanma, and Malampa.
The VMGD said communities should be aware that even low-intensity weather systems can bring significant rain, wind, and hazardous marine conditions, leading to damage along coastal areas.
